Predicting Climate Change: Lessons From Reductionism, Emergence, and the PastGCMsreductionismClimate and Earth system models are the only tools used to make predictions of future climate change. Such predictions are subject to considerable uncertainties, and understanding these uncertainties has clear and ...
根据“Scientists have long predicted that warmer temperatures caused by climate (气候) change will have the big influence on the world's poorest people. New research now suggests that has already happened over the past years.”可知,科学家们早就预测,气候变化导致的气温升高将对世界上最贫穷的人产生...
The threshold has been exceeded for only one year so far, but humanity is nearing the end of what many thought was a ‘safe zone’ as climate change worsens. Jeff Tollefson Correspondence|07 January 2025 Biodiversity credits are more problematic than carbon credits ...
Even under a best-case scenario, the scientists said the global temperature rise was "likely" to breach that threshold in the next two decades, earlier than some past predictions. READ MORE: Thousands evacuated as Greek fires spread Poland's judicial reforms after EU pressure...
The susceptibility of agriculture to changing environmental conditions is arguably the most dangerous short-term consequence of climate change, and predictions on the geography of changes will be useful for implementing mitigation strategies. Ecological niche modeling (ENM) is a technique used to relate ...
current prognostic frameworks for TC latitudes make contradictory predictions for climate change. Simulations of past warm climates, such as the Eocene and Pliocene, show that TCs can form and intensify at higher latitudes than of those during pre-industrial conditions. Observations and model projections...
We find that warming rates similar to or higher than modern trends have only occurred during past abrupt glacial episodes. We argue that the Arctic is currently experiencing an abrupt climate change event, and that climate models underestimate this ongoing warming. This is a preview of subscription...
past geologic periods),paleoclimatologists(who study pastclimates), paleoecologists (who study pastenvironmentsandecosystems),paleoceanographers(who study the history of the oceans), and other scientists concerned with Earth history. Because different components of the Earth system change at different ...
Protectionism,Trade, taggedCarbon Tax,Climate change,European Commission,European Union,Global warming,Higher Taxes,Protectionism,Tradeon July 12, 2021|20 Comments » Over the past four years, Donald Trump presumably was the biggest threat toglobal trade. ...
Superimposed on this record of natural variability is a long-term trend of climate change, which adds to the uncertainty of accurate rainfall/inflow predictions. This paper will provide a snapshot view of the most important aspects of recent climate change scenarios for NSW and in particular the...