Is there a way to combine the above warning with Kamala Harris’s worrisome poll numbers in such a way that itisn’ta call for Donald Trump’s assassination? Americans are too stupid/deplorable to save themselves from Nouveau Hitler via the electoral process, according to some polls, which me...
For years, they've been three of the handful of states that decided presidential elections. In the summer of 2020, amid the COVID pandemic and lockdown debates, sizable majorities in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania rated state economies badly. Incumbent President Donald Trump trailed in po...
Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +1.9, Results: Trump +0.7 (Trump +2.6 Ahead of Polls) pollsterdatesamplemoe Biden (D) Trump (R) *spread Final Results — — — 50.0 48.8 Biden+1.2 RCP Average 10/29 - 11/2 — — 48.7 47.5 Biden+1.2 Susquehanna* 11/1 - 11/2 499 LV 4.3 48 49 ...
And compared to last October, there are fewer Democrats and independents today who say the U.S. should send weapons and supplies to Israel. That view does remain a steady majority among Republicans. And there's been an increase in those saying send humanitarian aid to Palestinians, but most...
differ from the forecast. For instance, parties typically get a boost in the polls following their national convention. However, this can be fleeting; theconvention bounce usually fades over time. Ourforecastwill adjust for this, but the polling averages are a snapshot of the racetoda...
That’s not true. Polls have shown significant opposition to overturning Roe and voters have punished Republicans in recent elections for it. “The idea that the founders wanted the politicians to be the ones making the decisions about women’s health is ridiculous,” Biden shot back. ...
The effect on the polls was predictable: Biden's approval rating, which looked quite strong a month ago,slid quicklyin the face of sustained criticism. But as the longest war in U.S. history ends, a noticeable backlash to the backlash is brewing. ...
In multiple polls taken during Donald Trump’s presidency, the overwhelming majority of Americans said they favored developing a plan to allow some undocumented immigrants living in the US to become legal residents; in 2019, 15% or fewer said that the government should instead make it a priority...
Haley faces more pessimism among the potential Republican electorate about her chances to win. Despite numerous national polls showing her holding a broader lead over Biden than Trump does in hypothetical matchups, just 54% of GOP-aligned voters see her as having a realistic sho...
All of those margins reflect significant declines in support for Biden compared with 2020 exit polls. While those who actually turn out to vote are not the same as registered voters, and with a full year to go before the election, there is time for voters’ views to shift, the differences...