"On Econo- mists' Belief in the Law of Small Numbers." Economic Inquiry, October 1984, 22(4), pp. 602- 03.Busche, Kelly, and Peter Kennedy, "On Economists' Belief in the Law of Small Numbers," Economic Inquiry 22 (1984), 602-603....
Belief in the law of small numbers 来自 ResearchGate 喜欢 0 阅读量: 184 作者:A Tversky,D Kahneman 摘要: People have erroneous intuitions about the laws of chance. In particular, they regard a sample randomly drawn from a population as highly representative, that is, similar to the population...
(1971). “The belief in the law of small numbers,” Psychological Bulletin, 76: 105–110. Google Scholar Wallsten, T. S. (1977). “Measurement and Interpretation of Beliefs,” in Jungermann, H. and Zeeuw, G. de, eds., Decision making and Change in Human Affairs. Dordrecht, ...
Instead, most people seemed pleasantly amused by the auditory illusion. But suppose the evening news reported riots in the street over the recording. The Laurel gang slightly outgunned the Yanny people because of their higher numbers – but the Yanny people came on strong, anyway. Would you ...
(1964) famously argued that political belief systems vary in the overall degree of “constraint” – or functional interdependence – they provide. Well-constrained belief systems feature a multitude of interconnected attitudes which are often tied to a central idea or organizing theme and, once ...
Self-serving ideologues – cloaked in the language of science – shaped policies that led, in no small part, to hundreds of thousands of preventable deaths. This was not a failure of data, but of science and integrity, and it demands a historical reckoning. The Covid-19 pandemic exacted ...
Is a visualization a story? Segal and Heer explore this question in “Narrative Visualization: Telling Stories with Data.” Computational linguistics Data is more than numbers. Given that the web is designed to be read by humans, it makes heavy use of human language. And then there are all ...
For instance, in studies of the law of large numbers, children and adolescents often justify rejecting threatening information by citing the difficulties in making generalizations from small evidential samples; belief-supportive arguments based on similarly small samples of evidence are generally accepted ...
The belief that matter is made up of small particles in motion is based on a number of observations and experiments conducted over the course of many...Become a member and unlock all Study Answers Start today. Try it now Create an account Ask a question Our expert...
The incidence of inadequate or excessive gestational weight gain (GWG) is an indicator of reproductive health problems. However, scientific evidence for the effect of nutrition education during pregnancy on GWG and neonatal birth weight (BW) in urban set