age-period-cohort modelspredictionThe software package BAMP provides a method of analyzing incidence or mortality data on the Lexis diagram, using a Bayesian version of an age-period-cohort model. A hierarchical model is assumed with a binomial model in the first-stage. As smoothing priors for ...
Section2describesthetheoryofBayesianage-period-cohortmodelsandmodificationstothe basicmodel- and to add additional heterogeneity parameters. An important feature of Bayesian APC modelsisthepossibilityofprojectingfutureincidencerates;thisisalsodescribedinSection2. ...
The software package BAMP provides a method of analyzing incidence or mortality data on the Lexis diagram, using a Bayesian version of an age-period-cohort model. A hierarchical model is assumed with a binomial model in the first-stage. As smoothing priors for the age, period and cohort param...
Bayesian hierarchical age-period-cohort models withtime-structured effects: An application to religious votingin the US, 1972–2008qDaniel StegmuellerDepartment of Government, University of Essex, Colchester, CO4 3SQ United Kingdoma r t i c l e i n f oArticle history:Received 15 May 2013Acce...
Age–period–cohort models and disease mapping Most of the proposals in this field deal with at most two time scales (age–period or age–cohort). We propose a hierarchical Bayesian model that can... C Lagazio,A Biggeri,E Dreassi - 《Environmetrics》 被引量: 59发表: 2003年 Should age...
This model has been shown to have better accuracy compared to other forecasting models in previous studies [10,11,12]. The BAPC model is based on the age-period-cohort [13] (APC) model, which assumes an association between the incidence or mortality rates and age structure and population ...
The age–period–cohort model was used to explore the age, period, and cohort effects on larynx cancer and predict future trends up to 2044. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the age‐standardized incidence rate of larynx cancer in China increased by 1.3% (95% CI 1.1 to 1.5) in males, but...
摘要: An analysis of the turnout rates in elections for the Lower House of the Diet from 1969 to 2005 using the Bayesian age-period-cohort model 三船 毅 , 中村 隆 Japanese journal of electoral studies 25(2), 83-106, 2009年份: 2009 ...
基金 supported by grants from the Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation[ZR2020MH188,ZR2021MH051] Project of Science and Technology Development Plan of Traditional Chinese Medicine in Shandong Province[Grant/Award Number:2019-0424] 2021 Youth Innovation Talent Introduction and Education Program of...
We used a well-established hierarchical Bayesian Age Period Cohort (APC) model, which works under the assumption that variability in incidence data can be explained by age, period and cohort effects. We fitted this model to observed CHD mortality rate trends from 1982 to 2006. We then used ...