Bayesian age–period–cohort modelCancer projectionContinuous ranked probability scoreINLAPredictive qualityThe projection of age-stratified cancer incidence and mortality rates is of great interest due to demographic changes, but also therapeutical and diagnostic developments. Bayesian age-period-cohort (APC...
A Bayesian age‐period‐cohort (BAPC) model predicted diabetes (type 1 and type 2) mortality from 2020 to 2030. Results: In China, type 1 diabetes deaths declined from 6,005 to 4,504 cases (AAPC 2.827), while type 2 diabetes deaths rose from 64,084 to 168,388 cases (...
age-standardized DALY rate using SDI. Finally, age-standardized DALY rates were calculated by sex to measure the direction of temporal trends of glaucoma and a Bayesian age–period–cohort (BAPC) analysis in R using the BAPC and INLA packages was performed. All data analyses were conducted ...