Base rate neglect is a term used in cognitive psychology and the decision sciences to explain how human reasoners, in making inferences about probability, often tend to ignore the background frequencies. For example, if the probability of any given woman having breast cancer is known to be 1/...
This article focuses on one type of judgmental issue in cognitive psychology that depicts mixed results — subjects' use of and failures to use base rates in category predictions. It examines conditions that either induce or prevent subjects from using base rates, and uses these conditions to ...
The fallacy beneath the base rate fallacy is that we know what a base rate is. We talk as if base rates and individuating information were two different kinds of information. From a Bayesian perspective, however, the only difference between base rate and individuating information is – which ...
The Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale-Third Edition (WAIS-III; D. Wechsler, 1997a) and the Wechsler Memory Scale-Third Edition (WMS-III; D. Wechsler, 1997b) are 2 of the most frequently used measures in psychology and neuropsychology. To facilitate the diagnostic use of these measures in the...
Base rate neglect on the mammography problem can b A Feeney,S Mcnair - 《Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology Qjep》 被引量: 13发表: 2014年 Sets or frequencies? How to help people solve conditional probability problems Since the 1970s, the Heuristics and Biases Program in Cognitive Psych...
Presents information on a study which featured a model called RCCL that explains the different ways in which people combine base-rate and case-specific cue... Lovett,Marsha,C.,... - 《Journal of Experimental Psychology》 被引量: 158发表: 1999年 Base-rate training without case cues reduces ...
base-rate neglect, "less is more" effects, affect biases, omission bias, myside bias, sunk-cost effect, and certainty effects that violate the axioms ... KE Stanovich,RF West - 《Journal of Personality & Social Psychology》 被引量: 770发表: 2008年 Psychopathology in a large cohort of sex...
The inverse base-rate effect is not explained by eliminative inference. The inverse base-rate effect is a phenomenon in which people learn about some common and some rare outcomes and in subsequent testing people predict the ra... J K,Kruschke - 《Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memo...
A theoretical framework for understanding the effects of simultaneous base-rate and payoff manipulations on decision criterion learning in ... W,Todd,Maddox,... - 《Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory & Cognition》 被引量: 34发表: 2003年 Development of interpretive breakpoints for ...
Database selectioncan have a large effect on conclusions from reviews, especially in interdisciplinary topics, thus following the recommendation of (Harari et al., 2020), we have explored databases with different level of specificity: Psychology, PsycINFO; Social Sciences, ERIC and Social Sciences Ci...