谈到基础概率谬误（Base rate fallacy），我们最好是从概率论中的著名贝叶期定理说起, 先创者是托马斯.贝叶斯（Thomas Byes 1701年-1761年)，是英国的统计学家，曾经是个牧师，这个贝叶期定理，他生前并没有发表，是他死后1763年，才由朋友发表的。贝叶期定理虽说是18世纪的产物，200年来用得好好的，...
基准率谬误是概率推理中出现的一种谬误,当计算中忽略了可用的一般信息(基本比率,与总体人口相关)时——无论是意外还是故意的——而只关注特定信息(例如,与样本组相关的信息)(FallacyFiles,2015)。 这个…
In this blog post, we’ll explore the concept of the base rate fallacy, why it occurs, and how this cognitive bias influences our everyday decision-making. Finally, I include a worked base rate fallacy example that poses and solves the probabilities for medical testing. Learn about otherTypes...
base rate fallacy选择语言:从 到 翻译结果1翻译结果2 翻译结果3翻译结果4翻译结果5 翻译结果1复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基准利率的谬论 翻译结果2复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基本比率谬误 翻译结果3复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基准利率的谬论 翻译结果4复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基本利率...
网络基率谬误;基本率谬误;基率缪误 网络释义
如果你是这样想的话,那么,你就犯了作者丹尼尔.卡尼曼在书中《思想,快与慢》所说的错误,忽略了基准比率谬误,即没有考虑到在这个城市中“蓝绿”车的基本比例。 谈到基础概率谬误(Base rate fallacy),我们最好是从概率论中的著名贝叶期定理说起, 先创者是托马斯.贝叶斯(Thomas Byes 1701年-1761年),是英国的统计...
For more than a decade now, the 'base—rate fallacy' has been treated as a theoretical puzzle in both psychology and branches of other sciences concerned with human decision behavior and probability judgments. Generally, the term 'base—rate fallacy' denotes the phenomenon that when people are ...
base rate fallacy Wikipedia Related to base rate fallacy:Representativeness heuristic n (Statistics)statisticsthe tendency, when making judgments of the probability with which an event will occur, to ignore the base rate and to concentrate on other information ...
Base Rate Fallacy is our tendency to give more weight to the event-specific information than we should, and sometimes even ignore base rates entirely.
This is due to the base-rate fallacy problem, because of which the factor limiting the performance of an intrusion detection system is not the ability to identify behavior correctly as intrusive, but rather its ability to suppress false alarms . A very high standard, less than 1/100,000 per...