PSYCHOLOGYThe base-rate fallacy is people's tendency to ignore base rates in favor of, e.g., individuating information (when such is available), rather than integrate the two. This tendency has important implications for understanding judgment phenomena in many clinical, legal, and social-...
The base rate is developed based on the absence of other information. The base rate fallacy describes cases where people misjudge the likelihood of an event because they do not should account for other information besides base rate. In this case, people would say that there is 90% percent ...
谈到基础概率谬误（Base rate fallacy），我们最好是从概率论中的著名贝叶期定理说起, 先创者是托马斯.贝叶斯（Thomas Byes 1701年-1761年)，是英国的统计学家，曾经是个牧师，这个贝叶期定理，他生前并没有发表，是他死后1763年，才由朋友发表的。贝叶期定理虽说是18世纪的产物，200年来用得好好的，...
网络基率谬误;基本率谬误;基率缪误 网络释义
base rate fallacy 青云英语翻译 请在下面的文本框内输入文字,然后点击开始翻译按钮进行翻译,如果您看不到结果,请重新翻译! 翻译结果1翻译结果2翻译结果3翻译结果4翻译结果5 翻译结果1复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基准利率的谬论 翻译结果2复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部...
One good example is medical diagnostic tests. The base rate fallacy in medical testing¶ There has been some controversy over the use of mammograms in screening breast cancer. Some argue that the dangers of false positive results, such as unnecessary biopsies, surgery and chemotherapy, outweigh ...
T. Mad- dox, Department of Psychology, Mezes Hall 330, University of Texas, Austin, TX 78712 (e-mail: maddox@psy.utexas.edu). formance. The category base rates also affect perfor- mance. For example, if a cold front has set in, cold days will be more likely than warm days. Base ...
Base rate fallacy has an important and celebrity status in the history of decision theory. During the past 40 years,the research on base rate fallacy dominated the research field of decision theory. The main research paradigms are empirical,normative and methodological. However,there are still some...
Base-Rate Fallacy: The base-rate fallacy is an example of cognitive bias and fallacy that often occurs when a person has to decide under an uncertain condition. It is hallmarked by the neglect of the given base-rate information by a decision...
(1977). Intuitive theories of events and the effects of base-rate information on prediction. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 35(5), 303-314. Bar-Hillel, M. (1980). The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments. Acta Psychologica, 44(3), 211-233. Benjamin, D., Bodoh-...