Pre-Budget, my paper forecast consumer price inflation of 5.75 per cent to the June quarter 2023, compared to the Budget forecast of 3.0 per cent and the most recent Reserve Bank forecast of 2.75 per cent...
A $2.7 billion fall in private sector inventories – mainly from the mining and wholesale trade sector – was a drag on GDP, shaving 0.3 percentage points off GDP growth in the December quarter. However, the strong increase in public sector inventories provided some offset. ...
8. Trade forecast to accelerate The Covid-19 pandemic drove the share of trade in global economic output to a record high in 2022. But in 2023, slowing macroeconomic growth on the heels of large interest rate increases in many countries led to a modest pullback in global trade intensity. ...
Since international borders reopened last year, states and territories have seen population growth bounce back. Western Australia and Queensland are leading this recovery, with population growth of 2.3 and 2.2 per cent respectively in December 2022. In both states, this is driv...
Based on the combination of genetic algorithm and simulated annealing algorithm,a new smoothing exponential model was established to forecast the price of Chinese medicine in Bozhou as an example. Firstly,the genetic algorithm was used to optimize the population,and the approximate optimal solution was...
There are signs this payment method is on its way out though. By 2024, cash on delivery is forecast to be responsible for just 1.7% of total global e-commerce purchases (down from 3.3% in 2020)23. As digital infrastructure in developing markets improves, online shoppers...
External data could be population, labor market stats, social media data. 3. Are people analytics and workforce analytics the same as HR analytics? No – we think there are differences: HR analytics measure HR function metrics for each employee, such as time to hire and lifetime training expe...
A forecast of staple crop production in Burkina Faso to enable early warnings of shortages in domestic food availability Almost half of the Burkinabe population is moderately or severely affected by food insecurity. With climate change, domestic food production may become mor... R Laudien,B Schaube...
The 2023 EY Tax risk and controversy survey questioned 2,127 respondents in 47 jurisdictions and 20 sectors and sub-sectors. Survey fieldwork was conducted in January and February 2023. Across the survey population, 496 respondents were in a Functional Tax Head role (e.g., Tax planning...
Forecast Performance of Multiplicative Seasonal Arima Model: an Application to Naira/Us Dollar Exchange Rate The series was subjected to a time plot revealing seasonal patterns and upward trend. Both behaviours were taken into account by moving average and ... OK Onasanya,OA Olakunle,AO Emmanuel ...