jet streamnegative potential vorticitysymmetric instabilityLocalised regions of negative potential vorticity (PV) are frequently seen on the equatorward flank of the upper‐tropospheric jet streams in analysis and forecast products. Their positioning, on the anticyclonic side of the jet and often close ...
Weather Forecast 32(1):61–82. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-16-0065.1 Article Google Scholar Quesada B, Vautard R, Yiou P (2023) Cold waves still matter: characteristics and associated climatic signals in Europe. Clim Change 176(6):70. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03533-0 ...
Improving the interdecadal forecast of AMV is necessary for government decision-making and risk management. Northeast Asia will continue to warm in the near future under the RCP8.5 or SSP5-8.5 emission scenario, regardless of how the AMV changes. The only thing we can do is to adopt strong ...
In this study, the monthly mean atmospheric variable proxies derived from the latest European Centre from Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) reanalysis, covering the period from January 1958 to present, with a spatial resolution of 1° × 1°38. The sea surface tem...
Tropical Storm Philippe has been around for quite some time. The system formed back on September 23, and forecasters initially expected the system to venture out into the central Atlantic to live out its uneventful life. MUST SEE:A rare behemoth: ...
(2000) have also found that the BWA provides better forecast for annual runoff in the northern Québec-Labrador (i.e., over northeastern Canada) than the NAO. The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is another important mode of low-frequency multi-decadal variability characterizing the North ...
If and when that occurs, the NHC would issue forecast advisories. The first name of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season is Ana. For more on what a "subtropical" cyclone is, scroll down the page a bit. First, let's hit on the potential future impacts of this system. ...
et al. Predicting a decadal shift in North Atlantic climate variability using the GFDL forecast system. J. Clim. 27, 6472–6496 (2014). 55. Robson, J., Sutton, R., Lohmann, K., Smith, D. & Palmer, M. D. Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid-1990s...
(R2) data. The ocean initial conditions are obtained from the NCEP Global Ocean Data Assimilation System. Retrospective forecast starts from a specific month May, there are 10 atmospheric initial conditions (10 ensemble members), which are partitioned into two segments. In the present study, we ...
"We knew the forecast," said Smith. "We knew it was going to be bad, but we thought, you know, once it starts to come down we'll head home and be fine." Some roads around Raleigh remained clogged with abandoned vehicles Thursday morning. City crews were working to tow the vehicles ...