E.: A review of ENSO prediction studies, Clim. Dy- nam., 9, 167-179, 1994.Latif, M., T. P. Barnett, M. A. Cane, M. Flu¨gel, N. E. Graham, H. von Storch, J.-S. Xu, and S. E. Zebiak, 1994: A review of ENSO prediction studies. Climate Dyn., 9, 167-179....
A new statistical time series prediction method based on temporal empirical orthogonal function (T-EOF) is introduced in this study. This method first appl... YA Lee - 《Journal of Climate》 被引量: 2695发表: 2010年 An ENSO signal in soybean futures prices An example of socioeconomic repercu...
The potential for explosive volcanism to affect the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been debated since the 1980s. Several observational studies, based largely on tree-ring proxies, have since found support for a positive ENSO phase in the year following large eruptions. In contrast, re...
A hybrid coupled model (HCM) for the tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere system is employed for ENSO prediction. The HCM consists of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ocean general circulation model and an empirical atmospheric model. In hindcast experiments, a correlation skill competitive to ot...
A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Model for ENSO Prediction and 1997/1998 ENSO Forecast. Zhou Guangqing,Li Xu,Lin Zhaohui and Zeng Qingcun (Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Scineces,Beijing 100080). CLIMATIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH . 1998Zhou, G. Q., Li, X.,...
This paper presents a detailed review and discussion on the long-range forecast (LRF) of Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR), its present status, problems, and perspectives with an emphasis on the Indian meteorological department (IMD) operational forecasting methods and its forecasts. Verifications...
Current Status of ENSO Forecast Skill C, Xue Y, Zebiak S (eds) (2001) Current status of ENSO forecast skill: a report to the CLIVAR working group on seasonal to interannual prediction... BP Kirtman,J Shukla,M Balmaseda,... 被引量: 48发表: 2001年 Evaluating Climate Models with the...
In the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report, a systematic review of marine phenology studies suggested that zooplankton timing is moving earlier and responding faster compared to that observed for other marine animals29. For example, in the Subarctic Pacific Ocean, ...
Despite decades of research on forecasting the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the past decades, skillfully predicting the ENSO across the spring predictability barrier remains challenging. In this study, we utilize the ensemble of four model products to identify a new subsurface precursor cons...
While ENSO is a major predictability source of global and regional precipitation variation, the prediction skill of precipitation is not solely due to typical ENSO alone, of which variability and predictability exhibit strong seasonality. The first mode of ENSO variability has large variance with high...