With Georgia and North Carolina currently leaning Trump, perhaps the easiest pathway for Harris is the pathway that polls most consistently suggested: winning the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. But to get to 270 Electoral College votes, Harris likely needs to pair those ...
Polls are also important for the reporting we do here at 538, which is rooted in empiricism and data. Furthermore, the quality of the data we're getting about public opinion is important not just for predicting election outcomes and doing political journalism, but also formany other...
The election is over. Time to look to the next one. ByBill Scher|December 30, 2024 10:00 AM Brian Schatz to Democrats: Please, Stop With ‘Center’ and ‘Making Space’ As the Hawaii senator charts his path up the Senate hierarchy, he reflects on his party’s major challenges. ...
But here’s the thing: in this election, the polls weren’t wrong. In fact, they were more accurate than they have been in decades. The 2024 presidential campaign was notable for many reasons, includingtwo assassination attemptsand a last-minute switch at the top of a major party ticket,...
Related:Why are election polls all over the place, and which should you pay attention to? Polling averages have thus emerged in an attempt to detect trends over time. Averages are typically made up of a selection of high-quality publicly available polls and take into account the ...
election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be ...
In the US presidential election, investors should keep an eye on tariffs; green energy and mobility; and fiscal spending.
See below for Election Day polling hours in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut. Remember, you only need to be in line before polls close to cast a ballot, it's not a cutoff time for actual voting. When do polls close in New York?
Polls become more informative about the result as election day nears - the difference between how a party is polling and its actual vote falls by about two points on average over the final 100 days.
Exit polls Your Election CNN en Español Election Center 2024 President Key Presidential races President: Georgia Senate Key Senate races Trump will win second term, CNN projects, in historic comeback after losing four years ago Republicans will flip the Senate, CNN projects, shifting balance of ...