The results indicate that the index not only can monitor drought in the studied water-supply systems, but can also forecast ENSO-induced hydrologic droughts in the region and can be used in drought planning. (C) 2013 American Society of Civil Engineers. 展开 ...
Such models could be used to forecast drought at short-range, seasonal to sub-seasonal, and inter-annual timescales with uncertainty, extending the reach and value of the current US Drought Outlook from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. This novel data product provides the ...
Drought Monitor, showed generally consistent classifications of drought severity for three major droughts over the Contiguous United States since 2002. The AWSI showed moderate (0.3 ≤ R≤ 0.7 for 56% of area) to strong (R > 0.7 for 29% of area) correlations with the PDSI-Z during the ...
35). The EF5 model has been in operation for real-time flash flood forecast across the CONUS and territories at 1-km spatial resolution and updates every 10 min6. Forecasters in the U.S. National Weather Services (NWS) utilize this product to issue flash flood warnings. The model is ...
(NOAA) – The U.S. rang in the new year with an unusually mild January 2021 that tied with 1923 for the ninth-warmest January on record. The warmth was felt coast to coast with 48 contiguous states seeing above-average temperatures for the month. ...
For the summer 2000 study period, persistence in anomalous initial hydrologic states predominates in determining the hydrologic forecasts. In contrast, the El Niño-condition hydrologic forecasts derive direction both from the climate model forecast signal and the antecedent land surface state. From a ...
Carolinas Keywords: streamflow drought;low flows;national water model;multiannual patterns;autocorrelation;southeastern united states
In those 5 states alone, there are nearly 30 million properties with at least a 1% cumulative probability over the next 30 years of being impacted by a wildfire. Figure 12A (upper) further illustrates that the distribution of properties “any exposure” of wildfire are disproportionately located ...