Prospect theory is a theoretical framework that Kahneman and Tversky (1979) designed to capture the four features. It is a descriptive framework of choice in the face of risk. The theory has three components, a utility function over gains and losses, a weighting function, and a mental ...
Daniel Kahneman The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, 2002 At a glance Born:1934, Tel Aviv, Israel Died:2024 (age 90 years),New York, United States Field:Psychology, Economic Psychology Prize-winning work:Prospect theory; integration of cognitive psychology ...
前景理论可以说是行为金融学目前来说最具代表性的理论之一: Kahneman 和 Tversky 因为前景理论而前者因此获得2002年的诺贝尔经济学奖。 Kahneman and Tversky (1979): Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision …
前景理论(Prospect Theory),是卡尼曼(Kahneman)和特韦斯基(Tversky)在1979年提出的。所有关于行为经济学的著作,都绕不开这个理论。 曾有一位著名的财经编辑问过卡尼曼,为什么将他们的理论称为“前景理论”,卡尼曼说:“我们只想起一个响亮的名字,让大家记住它。” 也有学者将“前景理论”翻译为“预期理论”或“展望理...
理论分享:前景理论 prospect theory) 前景理论试图解释当存在不确定性和风险时,人们是如何做出决策的。在该理论提出之前,对各种选择的风险和回报的“期望效用“进行理性计算被认为是人们做决策的基础。然而, Kahneman和 Tversky(1979,1981,1992)提供了强有力的证据,说明人们的实际决策过程并不遵循这样的理性计算。Markow...
Prospect theory is among the most influential frameworks in behavioural science, specifically in research on decision-making under risk. Kahneman and Tversky’s 1979 study tested financial choices under risk, concluding that such judgements deviate significantly from the assumptions of expected utility theo...
Prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979). Prospect theory is a generative model of risky economical decision-making. The model describes how to translate some monetary value (say the potential to earn £100) and its associated probability of occurrence (say 50% likelihood of earning the ...
前景理论(Prospect Theory)由心理学家Daniel Kahneman和Amos Tversky于1979年提出,是行为经济学中的核心理论之一,旨在解释人们在不确定情境下的决策行为。其核心观点是,人们对损失的敏感度远高于对收益的感知,且决策依赖于参考点而非绝对结果。这一理论挑战了传统经济学中的期望效用理论,广泛...
卡尼曼(DanielKahneman)与前景理论(ProspectTheory)简介 瑞典皇家科学院称,美国Princeton University的心理学教授丹尼尔·卡尼曼(Daniel Kahneman)因为“将来自心理研究领域的综合洞察力应用在了经济学当中,尤其是在不确定情况下的人为判断和决策方面作出了突出贡献”,摘得2002 年度诺贝尔经济学奖的桂冠。 长期以来,正统经济...
More about prospect theory on this website. Find the latest research on prospect theory. Watch videos on prospect theory. References Barberis, N. C. (2013). Thirty years of prospect theory in economics: A review and assessment. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 27(1), 173-96. Kahneman, D...